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China’s factory activity expands for a second month despite shocks from the Iran war

HONG KONG (AP) — China’s factory activity expanded for a second straight month in April, according to an official survey on Thursday, as its economy remained resilient despite higher energy prices due to the Iran war.

The official manufacturing purchasing managers index slipped slightly to 50.3 from 50.4 in March, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, better than what economists had expected. Measured on a scale between 0 and 100, a reading above 50 reflects expansion.

The new orders sub-index slowed to 50.6 from 51.6 in March, although the sub-index on production rose slightly to 51.5.

Higher oil prices have so far not weighed on industrial activity in China, Leah Fahy, senior China economist at Capital Economics wrote in a research note this week, and the recent acceleration of industrial activity appears to have been driven by strong export demand.

Surging oil prices also are driving up global demand for green technology, a boon for Chinese companies that dominate manufacturing of clean energy equipment, she wrote.

A private sector PMI survey by S&P Global and RatingDog, a Chinese credit research and analysis firm, was more upbeat. It showed China’s factory activity rose to 52.2 in April, up from 50.8 in March. The survey focuses more on smaller and export-focused private companies.

U.S. tariffs on China have been lowered after a Supreme Court ruling earlier this year against U.S. President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs. That means China’s exports to the U.S. could pick up in coming months, Fahy said.

A long planned visit to Beijing by Trump to meet with Chinese leader Xi Jinping next month may help extend a year-long trade truce reached between the two leaders late last year.

China’s economy expanded at a 5% annual pace in January-March, acclerating from the previous quarter and beating economists’ estimates. Chinese leaders have set a 4.5% to 5% economic growth target for 2026, the lowest since 1991.

A prolonged property sector slump has weighed on domestic investment and consumption although exports remain robust, with China recording an all-time high of $1.2 trillion trade surplus last year.

Iran attacks Bahrain and Kuwait following US strikes, threatens to end talks to end the war

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Iran's paramilitary Revolutionary Guard launched drone and missile attacks Sunday targeting Bahrain and Kuwait in response to U.S. airstrikes that hit the Islamic Republic, and threatened a “complete halt” could come to negotiations to end the war if Washington continues its attacks. Efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow mouth of the Persian Gulf that once carried a fifth of the world's oil and natural gas, without Iran's direct oversight sparked the crossfire now gripping the region. A multinational maritime body overseen by the U.S. Navy said Saturday that it would expand a route near Oman in the Strait of Hormuz to allow for both inbound and outbound traffic — setting up a new flashpoint with Tehran. Iran insists it alone must govern the strait after the war, upending decades of the world considering that the strait was international waters free for all, despite its sitting in Iran and Oman's territorial waters. Tehran has twice attacked vessels going through the Oman route, backed by a United Nations agency, in recent days. Early Sunday, the U.S. military’s Central Command said it struck Iranian military “surveillance infrastructure, communication systems, air defense sites, drone storage facilities and minelayer capabilities” following an attack on a ship at sea early Saturday morning. That ship, the Panamanian-flagged tanker Kiku, carried crude oil for the state-run energy company of Qatar, a key negotiator between Iran and the United States.
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