Skip to main content

Will Growth or Value Stocks Dominate the Next Decade?

The debate between growth investors and value investors is as old as the stock market itself. However, in the eight years since the U.S. stock market bottomed during the financial crisis in 2009, the difference in performance between the two groups of stocks has been surprisingly lopsided.

Long-term investors must now decide whether there has been a fundamental shift in investor behavior away from value stocks and toward growth stocks or whether the pendulum will swing back the other way over the next eight to 10 years.

Value investors argue that the ultimate end game of any successful company is to deliver the highest possible profits. Value investors typically look for stocks with relatively low price-earnings ratios, consistent profits and stable positions in a durable markets.

[See: 9 Investing Steps From Warren Buffett’s Playbook.]

Growth investors look for companies that are expanding revenue, gaining market share and building customer bases. Growth investors are typically willing to take on a bit more risk based on the potential that at some point in the long term, these high-growth companies will be able to turn their growth into profits and become value companies as well.

A perfect example of a value company is General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM). General Motors stock currently trades at a P/E ratio of about 7.2, much lower than the Standard & Poor’s 500 index’s ratio of 25.3. GM reported record profits of $9.7 billion in 2016, but the company has averaged just 4.7 percent revenue growth in the past four quarters.

Electric carmaker Tesla ( TSLA), on the other hand, is a great example of a growth stock. Tesla has no P/E ratio because Tesla had no profit in fiscal 2016. In fact, the company reported a net earnings loss of more than $773 million on the year. However, growth investors ignore Tesla’s cash burn and focus on the company’s impressive revenue growth, which has averaged 65.7 percent in the past four quarters.

In terms of share price performance, Tesla and GM stocks are great examples of the outperformance of growth stocks in the current bull market. Over the past five years, the value-oriented General Motors stock is up about 84 percent. In that same time, the unprofitable, high-growth Tesla is up 1,080 percent.

A recent report from LPL Financial confirmed the widespread outperformance of growth stocks over the past 10 years. In fact, growth stocks outperformed value stocks by about 50 percent during that period. According to LPL, the past decade represents the longest period of outperformance by growth stocks in recorded history.

So far in 2017, that trend has shown no signs of slowing down. As of mid-September, growth stocks had gained 18 percent year-to-date compared to just a 4 percent gain for value stocks.

John Lynch, chief investment strategist for LPL Financial, says this type of extended outperformance will not last forever and long-term investors should position themselves accordingly.

[See: 9 of the Market’s Best Growth Stocks.]

“Though growth stocks have dramatically outperformed their value counterparts this year, we believe the tide is about to shift,” Lynch says. “The combination of steady economic growth, gradually tighter monetary policy, a potentially improved fiscal environment for business investment and attractive relative valuations suggest to us that value is well-positioned for outperformance in the coming year.”

However, not all analysts are convinced that the end of the growth era is imminent. Owen Murray, director of investments for Horizon Advisors, says growth stocks thrive when the overall U.S. economy is performing well.

“While nothing is certain, it is a possibility that growth stocks can continue to outperform, especially if the economy begins to pick up,” Murray says.

He also says there is good reason for the outperformance of growth stocks over the past decade. “Growth stocks were relatively undervalued compared to value stocks a decade ago, and that valuation gap has now closed completely.”

For long-term investors trying to choose between growth stocks and value stocks, Mike Loewengart, vice president of investment strategy at E-Trade, says Americans shouldn’t be afraid to invest in both value and growth.

“Given value stocks can lag growth stocks in sustained bull markets, it’s not surprising they have lost favor with some investors,” Loewengart says. “But uncertainty is the only certainty there is, and for patient investors, there is still a ton of upside to be found in value stocks for those willing to research.”

[See: 10 Ways You Can Invest Like Warren Buffett.]

For both value investors frustrated with their relative underperformance and growth investors feeling like market geniuses, the period of growth stock outperformance, much like the bull market, will eventually come to an end. However, timing the market rotation from growth to value can be as difficult as timing the short-term dips in the market.

Instead, long-term investors should focus on creating a balanced, diversified portfolio of high-quality growth and value stocks that fits their individual financial goals and investment time horizons.

More from U.S. News

7 Emerging Market ETFs to Buy Now

7 Great Ways to Buy Energy Stocks

9 Things to Know About Robo Advisors

Will Growth or Value Stocks Dominate the Next Decade? originally appeared on usnews.com

Don’t Settle for Student Loans to Pay for Online Education

Online college programs are becoming a more popular choice for prospective students, with one study finding that more than 6 million students enrolled in at least one online course in fall 2015. The popularity of these courses can be attributed in part to their flexibility with working adults' schedules, students' ability to progress more quickly through online programs and, oftentimes, cheaper tuition. [See 10 low-cost online bachelor's programs for out-of-state students.]Online degrees can be beneficial to many college students, but some studies have shown online learners complete their programs at lower rates than students at traditional brick-and-mortar campuses. Individuals with student loans but no degree comprise two-thirds of defaulted borrowers. Though these numbers are not encouraging, just like for traditional programs, there are ways to reduce how much you'll need to borrow for an online program to ensure you won't become one of these statistics. Don't just settle on borrowing student loans to cover the whole cost of your program and living expenses. Instead, start thinking about how to cut costs and cover your balance in different ways, such as the following. -- Grants and scholarships: Even though you are taking an online course, you can still apply and receive grants and scholarships. But your first step should be to complete the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, commonly referred to as the FAFSA, which will allow you to receive a Pell Grant if your expected family contribution is low enough. The EFC criteria and award amounts are adjusted annually, but the 2017-2018 academic year awards range from $606 to $5,920, which could significantly lower the amount you borrow annually. Your next step is to apply for scholarships. You can start by checking online scholarship search engines, such as the Salt Scholarship Search, College Board's BigFuture and Peterson's. But don't forget to take advantage of local organizations and your school's financial aid office. Both may offer scholarships that you can't find with a national scholarship search. [Review these 10 sites to kick off your scholarship search.]For instance, organizations like the Elks Club, Knights of Columbus or the Rotary Club typically offer scholarships annually to local students. Just because you're going to school online doesn't mean you're ineligible. Visit your local library for scholarship listings, and ask around town. You might be surprised how many local organizations offer scholarships. While these scholarships typically aren't large, every little bit counts. Each dollar you receive in a scholarship is a dollar you don't have to borrow and pay interest on. -- Work-study: Another option for online students may be work-study awards. Not all students enrolled in online programs are eligible, but students at some schools -- including, for example, SUNY Empire State College and Liberty University -- are. Work-study awards are not given upfront like scholarships and grants. In most cases, they are an offer to earn up to the awarded amount if you secure an eligible work-study job. While there is a misconception that all work-study jobs must be on campus, students can work for off-campus, nonprofit or public employers as long as the work is in the public's interest. You may be able to work for a for-profit employer if the job is relevant to your course of study. No matter who the outside employer is, it will need to have an established agreement with your college for you to receive work-study funds. Remember, to be eligible for federal financial aid, you must be enrolled and pursuing a degree or certificate. If you're not working toward a credential, Pell Grants and work-study won't be option, but you may still be able to take advantage of private scholarships -- just be sure to read the eligibility criteria carefully. [Explore what to know about financial aid in online programs.]-- Pay as you go: One of the great benefits to enrolling online is the flexible schedule, which can allow you to complete your college coursework around your responsibilities. But prospective students often overlook using their part- or full-time job earnings as an option for paying for college. Almost 80 percent of college students in 2015 worked at least part time while attending classes, according to the National Center for Education Statistics. By budgeting and thinking strategically about your college costs, you can likely reduce your dependence on student loans by paying a portion out of pocket. Many -- but not all -- online programs are less expensive than traditional programs and often have shorter payment periods. Six, eight or 10 weeks are common course durations. Because of the frequency of payments in an online setting, you may be well-placed to pay as you go and possibly avoid borrowing altogether. Attending college online and avoiding student loans may be challenging, but if you are willing to put in the effort, you can limit the amount you need to borrow. More from U.S. News Q&A: Understanding Student Loan Discharge Eligibility Student Loan Refinancing Isn't Right for All Borrowers
Read Next Story