Skip to main content

Should You Set a Stop-Loss on Your Retirement Account in a Bear Market?

Market surges and dips are just par for the course if you’re invested in stocks. But when your stocks’ prices fall in a bear market, it can feel like you’re on a ship in high stormy seas: You don’t know when the storm will end, and it’s hard to know how to protect yourself. Should you set your stocks to sell if their prices hit a specified low? Or should you ride out the bear market?

The answer depends on your goals, says JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade.

“The key is what was your plan on a trade when you first (got) in to the trade,” Kinahan says. “I think that the planning step is often one people miss and those that do not have one are often the same folks that make the decisions that we all refer to as emotional investment decisions.”

Let’s say you want to buy 600 shares of a stock over time, and you have a plan to buy it for an average of $45 over the next year. If the stock is trading at $50, you’d buy 200 at $50, put in a bid for 200 shares at $45 and 200 at $40, Kinahan says. You’d be “using movement as a friend and (have) both a time frame and price levels in mind. If the stock does not fall to those levels, that is also fine,” he says.

[See: 20 Awesome Dividend Stocks for Guaranteed Income.]

Investors should assess their goals at least quarterly.

Stop orders. Those that trade more frequently might use stop orders to sell when a stock hits a certain bottom price.

“These also take some thought and preplanning: If you have a target on the downside of where you want to get out, you should have a target on the upside,” Kinahan says. “Make sure that you are not going to make the mistake of taking very small winners and big, big losers. Don’t take $1 on the upside if you are willing to lose $3 on the downside. That math will not work out long term.”

Russell Robertson, certified financial planner and owner of Alidade Wealth Partners, says not to use stop loss orders to sell.

“Once the stop is triggered, it becomes a market order,” he says. “There’s no guarantee you’ll be able to sell at the price you set the stop at. Use stop limit orders if you just want a standing order to sell.”

Risks of stop-losses. Stuyvesant Capital Management’s portfolio manager and research analyst Jason Cooper says the firm is currently skeptical about the use of stop-losses given the intense volatility of the markets.

“When the Dow dropped 1,100 points on the open during the flash crash on Aug. 24, 2015, an investor with a stop-loss would have sold into panic, missing out on the market reversal that occurred over the ensuing trading days,” Cooper says. “Executing the trade would have resulted in the investor realizing capital gains, which would have increased their tax bill.”

To minimize risk, Cooper advises an asset allocation that “favors defensives securities over their cyclical counterparts. We also currently advise against chasing momentum in risky fixed income products such as high-yield bonds, emerging market debt and noninvestment grade municipals.”

Opinions vary, but Robertson believes an investor planning to retire in the next 10 years probably can’t afford to ride out the next bear market.

“If you’re a millennial, you can afford to ride out the bear market, especially in your retirement portfolio,” he says. “For anyone thinking they will ride it out, we recommend holding in cash any big expenditures coming up in the next two to three years.”

Covered calls. Kirk Du Plessis, founder and head trader of OptionAlpha.com, says investors can survive a bearish market by using a covered call strategy. With covered calls, you sell call options against shares of stock you already own in return for a premium which reduces the cost of ownership in the stock.

[See: 7 Ways to Avoid Financial Stress Over the Holidays.]

“For example, let’s say you owned 100 shares of XYZ Company at $100 a share. You could sell one covered call at the $105 strike price for $2 a share for the next 30 days,” Du Plessis says. “In this example, you would forfeit any gains above $105, but reduce the cost of ownership down to just $98 a share. This means that the stock could fall up to $2 this month and you would still not lose money.”

“The problem with a stop-loss is not when you should get out, but when you should get back,” says Ryan McGuinness, who spent eight years in corporate finance for Fortune 500 companies before founding the wealth management firm CTR Financial.

Another question to ask yourself is: If you sell, how will you invest your funds?

“You need to predict where the market is going to go and that’s been shown to be nearly impossible,” McGuinness says.

On Dec. 29, 2015, the Standard & Poor’s 500 index ended at 2,078. Toward the end of January 2016, it had dropped 10 percent. By Feb. 11, 2016, it dropped to 1,829 or about 12 percent.

“If you had your stop-loss order in at 10 percent, you would have saved yourself some small losses,” McGuinness says. “But then what? Did you wait for more losses to pile up that never came? The market is up nearly 18 percent since that bottom. If you sold after the drop, you missed out.”

McGuinness adds, “What we know for sure is that while over the short term markets drop, over the long term they always go up.”

To prove his point, McGuinness cites the worst 30-year period for the S&P 500 from 1927-2015, which generated an annual return of 8 percent.

[Read: How to Invest in Infrastructure Spending.]

“It’s below the average of 11.1 percent, but still not bad. If you were jumping in and out of the market, you probably missed a lot of those gains. And earning only 8 percent took some really bad luck,” he says. “It assumed you invested right before the Great Depression, but even then, if you stuck it out, you did well.”

More from U.S. News

7 of the Most Loathed Stocks in the Market

11 Stocks That Donald Trump Loves

7 Pharma Stocks and the Prognosis for Profits

Should You Set a Stop-Loss on Your Retirement Account in a Bear Market? originally appeared on usnews.com

Don’t Settle for Student Loans to Pay for Online Education

Online college programs are becoming a more popular choice for prospective students, with one study finding that more than 6 million students enrolled in at least one online course in fall 2015. The popularity of these courses can be attributed in part to their flexibility with working adults' schedules, students' ability to progress more quickly through online programs and, oftentimes, cheaper tuition. [See 10 low-cost online bachelor's programs for out-of-state students.]Online degrees can be beneficial to many college students, but some studies have shown online learners complete their programs at lower rates than students at traditional brick-and-mortar campuses. Individuals with student loans but no degree comprise two-thirds of defaulted borrowers. Though these numbers are not encouraging, just like for traditional programs, there are ways to reduce how much you'll need to borrow for an online program to ensure you won't become one of these statistics. Don't just settle on borrowing student loans to cover the whole cost of your program and living expenses. Instead, start thinking about how to cut costs and cover your balance in different ways, such as the following. -- Grants and scholarships: Even though you are taking an online course, you can still apply and receive grants and scholarships. But your first step should be to complete the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, commonly referred to as the FAFSA, which will allow you to receive a Pell Grant if your expected family contribution is low enough. The EFC criteria and award amounts are adjusted annually, but the 2017-2018 academic year awards range from $606 to $5,920, which could significantly lower the amount you borrow annually. Your next step is to apply for scholarships. You can start by checking online scholarship search engines, such as the Salt Scholarship Search, College Board's BigFuture and Peterson's. But don't forget to take advantage of local organizations and your school's financial aid office. Both may offer scholarships that you can't find with a national scholarship search. [Review these 10 sites to kick off your scholarship search.]For instance, organizations like the Elks Club, Knights of Columbus or the Rotary Club typically offer scholarships annually to local students. Just because you're going to school online doesn't mean you're ineligible. Visit your local library for scholarship listings, and ask around town. You might be surprised how many local organizations offer scholarships. While these scholarships typically aren't large, every little bit counts. Each dollar you receive in a scholarship is a dollar you don't have to borrow and pay interest on. -- Work-study: Another option for online students may be work-study awards. Not all students enrolled in online programs are eligible, but students at some schools -- including, for example, SUNY Empire State College and Liberty University -- are. Work-study awards are not given upfront like scholarships and grants. In most cases, they are an offer to earn up to the awarded amount if you secure an eligible work-study job. While there is a misconception that all work-study jobs must be on campus, students can work for off-campus, nonprofit or public employers as long as the work is in the public's interest. You may be able to work for a for-profit employer if the job is relevant to your course of study. No matter who the outside employer is, it will need to have an established agreement with your college for you to receive work-study funds. Remember, to be eligible for federal financial aid, you must be enrolled and pursuing a degree or certificate. If you're not working toward a credential, Pell Grants and work-study won't be option, but you may still be able to take advantage of private scholarships -- just be sure to read the eligibility criteria carefully. [Explore what to know about financial aid in online programs.]-- Pay as you go: One of the great benefits to enrolling online is the flexible schedule, which can allow you to complete your college coursework around your responsibilities. But prospective students often overlook using their part- or full-time job earnings as an option for paying for college. Almost 80 percent of college students in 2015 worked at least part time while attending classes, according to the National Center for Education Statistics. By budgeting and thinking strategically about your college costs, you can likely reduce your dependence on student loans by paying a portion out of pocket. Many -- but not all -- online programs are less expensive than traditional programs and often have shorter payment periods. Six, eight or 10 weeks are common course durations. Because of the frequency of payments in an online setting, you may be well-placed to pay as you go and possibly avoid borrowing altogether. Attending college online and avoiding student loans may be challenging, but if you are willing to put in the effort, you can limit the amount you need to borrow. More from U.S. News Q&A: Understanding Student Loan Discharge Eligibility Student Loan Refinancing Isn't Right for All Borrowers
Read Next Story