Skip to main content

4 Facts to Consider When Buying Ford Stock

In the aftermath of the auto recovery, General Motors Co. (ticker: GM) became known as the “new GM” as it shed the old company image to deal with bankruptcy court. Lately, though, it seems GM’s competitor, Ford Motor Co. (F), is the one reinventing itself.

Ford, the second-largest American automaker, became an industry leader in 2015 by streamlining its manufacturing process and introducing aluminum-body F-150s into the marketplace. And CEO Mark Fields made headlines by announcing a $4.5 billion investment into electric vehicles — in order to appeal to consumers’ desires and more stringent emissions demands, Ford plans to build 13 new electric models by 2020.

More recently, reports surfaced that Ford is in advanced discussions to become the manufacturer of Alphabet’s (GOOG) self-driving cars. Alphabet is already outsprinting the competition in the driverless-car space, having recorded more than 1 million miles on public roads and having manufactured a prototype from the ground up. Pairing Ford’s mass-production expertise with GOOG’s technology could be a game-changing development.

But what does that all mean for the company? In 2015, F stock has declined 8 percent, meaning all these changes have done little to encourage investors to buy in. What’s up with Ford, and why haven’t investors tried it lately?

Ford’s electric push will take time. There are multiple tectonic shifts occurring in the vehicles we drive. Manufacturers are increasing the number of electric vehicles on the road as emission standards become more stringent. Ford says 40 percent of its lineup will be electric by 2020.

“It’s one of those long-term growth drivers that everyone likes to look at,” says Jeff Windau, an analyst for the Edward Jones financial services firm. “There’s definitely a lot of work being done on that front. It’s going to be a slow progression.”

But it’s a move the company has to make. As states pass tougher emissions standards, companies like Tesla Motors (TSLA) have entered the field — suggesting it wants to become one of the large manufacturers as well. Ford announced that some of the $4.5 billion investment into electric vehicles would be to improve the batteries used to run them, which would be a direct shot at Tesla’s battery.

Ford, though, appears to want to take a different approach on self-driving cars. Instead of designing its own autonomous vehicle, it looks close to partnering with Alphabet — the tech giant that recently changed its name from Google — as one of the leaders in producing self-driving technology. That can have benefits, since it’s unclear what type of technology will win out. But as Morningstar analyst David Whiston says, the potential partnership is “just the beginning of the process.” It will be years before Ford realizes the real impact.

Gas prices remain low, which is a boon for SUVs. The small SUV or light truck market has seen significant gains over the past year. According to Automotive News, sales on light trucks have increased 12.5 percent, and sales of crossover SUVs are up 17.6 percent through November compared to the previous year. That far outperforms the 5.4 percent growth the industry has seen in total vehicle sales. Ford has recorded a 12.8 percent increase in Ford Edge sales and an 18.9 percent jump in Ford Explorer sales from last year.

Light SUVs and truck sales are big wins for F stock because they offer better profit margins than its other vehicles. These sales “should continue,” says Whiston, because low gas prices have driven a push in light trucks and SUVs.

While analysts don’t believe the oil prices that have kept gasoline so low will continue forever, they also don’t believe they will jump considerably next year. But even if gas prices begin to creep up in the next year or two, Ford will be on solid footing thanks to its investments in overseas markets, Whiston says.

Aluminum trucks create copycats. One of the changes Ford made when it struggled through the recession was to reduce the number of car bodies used in vehicles. In 2007, there were 27 different bodies under use. Now that has reduced to nine, with a goal of dropping to eight.

This simplifies the building process, which allows the company to invest in new strategies, including the aluminum F-150.

It was a bold bet by Ford to introduce an aluminum truck, since buyers don’t know how long an aluminum model will last or how expensive it is to fix. But sales seem strong, as the F-Series line of trucks had its best third quarter since 2006, according to Ford. Competitors are now following Ford’s lead, with GM planning an aluminum truck release for 2018.

“Ford has been launching several new product lines,” Windau says. “Competitors will also be launching new models. We often see shift in market share on new models.”

The dividend is strong. Ford’s 5 percent increase in stock price over the past three years has come as the company continues to feel the boon of a six-year car buying boost. But it’s unclear if that will continue. “The growth rate is definitely slowing,” Windau says.

Ford stock has a 4.2 percent dividend yield, surpassing the average you will find in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index, which stands near 2 percent. But it’s not a cheap buy. At a 2016 price-to-earnings average of 7.4, it’s in line with its 5-year average.

Whiston takes a three-year view of the company, however, and sees F stock eventually rising to $20. If you do buy, you will get “paid to wait,” due to the dividend, Whiston says.

You’ll just have to hope that if sales of U.S. vehicles sputter, it won’t last for long.

More from U.S. News

8 Stocks to Buy for a Great 2016

7 Dividend ETFs for the Income-Minded Investor

16 Things Investors Should Know About Crowdfunding

4 Facts to Consider When Buying Ford Stock originally appeared on usnews.com

Don’t Settle for Student Loans to Pay for Online Education

Online college programs are becoming a more popular choice for prospective students, with one study finding that more than 6 million students enrolled in at least one online course in fall 2015. The popularity of these courses can be attributed in part to their flexibility with working adults' schedules, students' ability to progress more quickly through online programs and, oftentimes, cheaper tuition. [See 10 low-cost online bachelor's programs for out-of-state students.]Online degrees can be beneficial to many college students, but some studies have shown online learners complete their programs at lower rates than students at traditional brick-and-mortar campuses. Individuals with student loans but no degree comprise two-thirds of defaulted borrowers. Though these numbers are not encouraging, just like for traditional programs, there are ways to reduce how much you'll need to borrow for an online program to ensure you won't become one of these statistics. Don't just settle on borrowing student loans to cover the whole cost of your program and living expenses. Instead, start thinking about how to cut costs and cover your balance in different ways, such as the following. -- Grants and scholarships: Even though you are taking an online course, you can still apply and receive grants and scholarships. But your first step should be to complete the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, commonly referred to as the FAFSA, which will allow you to receive a Pell Grant if your expected family contribution is low enough. The EFC criteria and award amounts are adjusted annually, but the 2017-2018 academic year awards range from $606 to $5,920, which could significantly lower the amount you borrow annually. Your next step is to apply for scholarships. You can start by checking online scholarship search engines, such as the Salt Scholarship Search, College Board's BigFuture and Peterson's. But don't forget to take advantage of local organizations and your school's financial aid office. Both may offer scholarships that you can't find with a national scholarship search. [Review these 10 sites to kick off your scholarship search.]For instance, organizations like the Elks Club, Knights of Columbus or the Rotary Club typically offer scholarships annually to local students. Just because you're going to school online doesn't mean you're ineligible. Visit your local library for scholarship listings, and ask around town. You might be surprised how many local organizations offer scholarships. While these scholarships typically aren't large, every little bit counts. Each dollar you receive in a scholarship is a dollar you don't have to borrow and pay interest on. -- Work-study: Another option for online students may be work-study awards. Not all students enrolled in online programs are eligible, but students at some schools -- including, for example, SUNY Empire State College and Liberty University -- are. Work-study awards are not given upfront like scholarships and grants. In most cases, they are an offer to earn up to the awarded amount if you secure an eligible work-study job. While there is a misconception that all work-study jobs must be on campus, students can work for off-campus, nonprofit or public employers as long as the work is in the public's interest. You may be able to work for a for-profit employer if the job is relevant to your course of study. No matter who the outside employer is, it will need to have an established agreement with your college for you to receive work-study funds. Remember, to be eligible for federal financial aid, you must be enrolled and pursuing a degree or certificate. If you're not working toward a credential, Pell Grants and work-study won't be option, but you may still be able to take advantage of private scholarships -- just be sure to read the eligibility criteria carefully. [Explore what to know about financial aid in online programs.]-- Pay as you go: One of the great benefits to enrolling online is the flexible schedule, which can allow you to complete your college coursework around your responsibilities. But prospective students often overlook using their part- or full-time job earnings as an option for paying for college. Almost 80 percent of college students in 2015 worked at least part time while attending classes, according to the National Center for Education Statistics. By budgeting and thinking strategically about your college costs, you can likely reduce your dependence on student loans by paying a portion out of pocket. Many -- but not all -- online programs are less expensive than traditional programs and often have shorter payment periods. Six, eight or 10 weeks are common course durations. Because of the frequency of payments in an online setting, you may be well-placed to pay as you go and possibly avoid borrowing altogether. Attending college online and avoiding student loans may be challenging, but if you are willing to put in the effort, you can limit the amount you need to borrow. More from U.S. News Q&A: Understanding Student Loan Discharge Eligibility Student Loan Refinancing Isn't Right for All Borrowers
Read Next Story